Rain expected — wet weather specialists may outperform qualifying position.
Top 10 qualifying predictions
Predicted using an XGBoost model trained on 2018-2026 qualifying sessions. Key signals: constructor championship standing, recent 3-session qualifying form, circuit history, and momentum trend. Average accuracy: 7.6/10 correct per session.
PDriverProbFormTrend
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Top 10 race predictions
Predicted using an XGBoost model trained on 2018-2026 race data. Key signals: qualifying position, championship standing, recent 3-race form, circuit history, Google Trends momentum, and weather. Average accuracy: 7.9/10 per race.
PDriverProbFormTrend
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Constructor predictions
Constructor score combines both drivers' predicted qualifying probabilities. A team with two drivers predicted in the top 5 scores highest.
PConstructorScore
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Strong value picks
Edge = model probability minus implied market probability. Market odds based on qualifying position using exponential decay. Backtested at 60% win rate at 20%+ edge threshold over 2020-2026.
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Full grid model edge
All drivers ranked by race model probability. Green edge = model rates driver higher than market implies.
PDriverModelMarketEdge
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My fantasy team
Betting picks
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Your team inputs
This weekend summary
Captain recommendation
Free transfers
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Odds from Polymarket prediction markets. Click a driver to save your pick. After the race, check Results to see how you did.
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Fantasy results
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